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Anyone with half a brain would be scared silly of a peanut butter sandwich. . |
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But you're not. And if I continue to pummel you with statistics that say you're more likely to die from
the natural carcinogens in peanut butter than from living next to a nuclear power plant, you'll
eventually knock me down and stuff jelly up my nose.
When the captains of the nuclear industry originally offered the peanut butter equation, it didn't make them very popular with environmentalists and others who think we rely too heavily on half-tamed technologies and chemicals. The environmentalists, in fact, wanted to knock the captains of the nuclear industry down and stuff jelly up their noses. But the peanut butter equation illustrates a point:
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When scientists bang on their calculators, they come up with a list of things that kill lots of people, but don't scare us much. . |
Likewise they can produce a list of things that don't kill many people, but of which we live in dread.
Consider these disparities, for instance:
Risk perception seems to attract scientists with a frisky approach to research.
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One experiment, for example, involved dipping a dead, sterilized cockroach into a glass of juice, then noting the percentage of people who wouldn't drink. . |
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In another trial researchers observed that people refused to put on a sweater worn by someone who
committed a moral offense, or by someone with an amputated foot!
Using these and more orthodox approaches, risk-perception researchers have identified some general rules that cause us to greet danger with a yelp or a yawn. As stated by Carnegie Mellon researcher Baruch Fischhoff, "We probably do have our priorities screwed up, but there's usually some reasonable reason for it."
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In light of how we estimate risk, our fears don't seem quite so silly. . |
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They reflect our notions of fairness and our desire for control over our lives. They reflect emotional
truths, and for $95 any psychologist will tell you nothing on the planet is less silly than an
emotion.
And that explains the big smile on my face every time I tempt fate by eating a peanut butter sandwich in the car on the way to the pool.
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Vocabulary
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Hannah Holmes throws caution to the winds of Portland, Maine. Her numerous contributions to
Discovery Online include this month's "Hitchhikers' Guide to
the Hubble." She also writes for Escape, Outside, Sierra, Backpacker, Eco Traveler and
Women's Sports and Fitness. Write her at
skinny@online.discovery.com.
Main WebLinks Illustration: Brian Frick | Copyright © 1997 Discovery Communications, Inc. |